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Gillian
"Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'"
"You can't erase icing."
"I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!"
And you know to put armour in the places the survivors weren't shot. Thanks to Abraham Wald, who gave us the concept of Survivorship Bias.
Same problem with all those friendly dolphins that lift drowning people to the surface, or nudge distressed swimmers towards shore. We never hear from the swimmers the dolphins held under the water or pushed out to sea.
Grant Hutchison
We've visited Yellowstone National Park (my favorite place on Earth) three times in five or six years. The first time there was no wi-fi anywhere, and only one of the lodgings offered wired internet, which was on a pay-by-the-hour basis and not cheap. And our laptop lacks an eathernet port. But the last time there was wi-fi in the lobbies of several of the lodgings. You could tell where the hotspot was by the crowd of people.
The only cell phone service there is Verizon, which we have, so I was able to get my fix of Cosmoquest and ISF via Tapatalk.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt.
Apparently I'm not a very nice person, because I got the most lovely feeling of schadenfreude at the news that Gwyneth Paltrow, who never met a pseudoscience she didn't like and try to sell to others, is suffering long-term effects of Covid-19.
And then my wife told me she was never actually tested for it but was diagnosed by one of her fellow quacks.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt.
You might therefore enjoy reading Timothy Caulfield's marvellous book Is Gwyneth Paltrow Wrong About Everything?
I bought it largely for the title, but it's actually a rather neat dissection of how so many people have become hypnotized by a desire to "be famous" and to track the opinions of famous people, no matter how fatuous. (The link goes to my own review.)
Grant Hutchison
I feel you guys really need to tighten up on your filter bubble. I can't remember the last time I ever heard anything about la Paltrow, except through the medium of Caulfield's excellent book.
Grant Hutchison
That's funny--I'm in a large film group, and this is where I'm hearing about it. We have no fondness for her there, though some of us would like her more if she avoided pseudoscience and stuck to acting. I do think celebrities are allowed to have opinions--"shut up and sing" is ridiculous to me--but it's different when you're actively making money on hurting others.
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Gillian
"Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'"
"You can't erase icing."
"I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!"
A: "Things that are equal to the same are equal to each other"
B: "The two sides of this triangle are things that are equal to the same"
C: "If A and B are true, Z must be true"
D: "If A and B and C are true, Z must be true"
E: "If A and B and C and D are true, Z must be true"
Therefore, Z: "The two sides of this triangle are equal to each other"
The other problem, as Caulfield points out, is that so many people assign importance to the opinion of celebrities, apparently without questioning whether the celebrity has any experience or qualification that might lend weight to their opinion. Caulfield suggests that this is because the endless sharing of information by (some) celebrities on social media triggers the bits of our brain that signal "friend".
But if that's so, it leaves me wondering why people don't ask themselves, "Does my friend have any experience or qualification that might lend weight to their opinion?" But asking your non-medical friends to second-guess medical advice has been a thing at least since I started to practise medicine, so I guess I shouldn't be surprised.
Grant Hutchison
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Man is a tool-using animal. Nowhere do you find him without tools; without tools he is nothing, with tools he is all. — Thomas Carlyle (1795-1881)
I once came up with a name for arguments that consist only of saying there fallacies in the/an alternative position. For some reason, "argumentum ad fallacio" doesn't seem to have caught on.
"Appeal to celebrity" seems to be a thing, but a bit of searching suggests no-one has translated into Latin. Accusative case of celebritas, though, I think (albeit somewhat nervously, forty years after my last formal Latin lesson). So argumentum ad celebritatem.
Grant Hutchison
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Man is a tool-using animal. Nowhere do you find him without tools; without tools he is nothing, with tools he is all. — Thomas Carlyle (1795-1881)
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Gillian
"Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'"
"You can't erase icing."
"I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!"
I had already put the toast down this morning and couldn't find the Vegemite. Had to have Marmite instead. I don't care for the consistency of it. The Vegemite will turn up and anyhow I already got two more jars of it from Amazon.
Not in the bugs me department: I'm finding that having some strong flavors makes my current dieting more tolerable. Like the vegemite. I used to make a sandwich for lunch and have potato salad as a side. Now I usually make half a sandwich and have a side of hot peppers or pickled asparagus. I've lost 20 pounds.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt.
Order of Kilopi
Well, we had a nice time in Albany and after the discussions about how to pronounce the name of the various locales I thought I would post a photo of our version. This is the oldest part of town, now probably about 10% of the total town area that has a population of around 32,000. That is my silver car in the foreground. Albany is in a lovely location but the next piece of 'land' past that island in the background is Antarctica. The seas offshore are notoriously rough.
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We are redecorating the former Christmas tree, lately Valentine's tree for Easter. Because why not. Anyhow, one string of lights had failed so I pulled it out and found another. The failed one was only partly out; it's LED lights and has three or four bumps along the cord presumably containing the electronics. It's out between two of those so one of those modules has failed. Then while working on it yesterday I noticed another had done the same thing. Most of the lights on the tree are of that same type. As are the ones with which I've nearly finished redoing the lighted Yard Moose. Nuts.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt.
Darn, I missed this post. I'd have floated the suggestion that you could rebuild it yourself, then take it in to have it trued. Assuming you could obtain spokes and nipples from an online retailer, it actually isn't that hard to do with a little online guidance. I worked in a bike shop to support my habit (more than 30 years) ago and I quite enjoyed wheel work. There's something kind of Zen about it.
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Man is a tool-using animal. Nowhere do you find him without tools; without tools he is nothing, with tools he is all. — Thomas Carlyle (1795-1881)
Yes, online guidance is good these days. Without it, I've had good results when I've only had to replace one broken spoke at a time, but I'd look for that guidance if I had to do more than one. I'd probably end up with an egg-shaped wheel otherwise.
YouTube has saved me several times when I've had to set up the derailleurs.
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Man is a tool-using animal. Nowhere do you find him without tools; without tools he is nothing, with tools he is all. — Thomas Carlyle (1795-1881)
I believe that I could get the spokes etc easily enough and I do have a bike repair 'kit' with the necessary tools to remove the rear cluster and so on. However, while I can do basic repairs I have never been the best at 'fine tuning' things. For example while I have removed and replaced the rear differential on a car I never considered rebuilding the 'insides'. The process of changing the spokes didn't look too hard on the video I guess the question is about the trueing. I have got an old bike with some broken spokes I may try myself out on that first before attempting it on my new one.
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Man is a tool-using animal. Nowhere do you find him without tools; without tools he is nothing, with tools he is all. — Thomas Carlyle (1795-1881)
I have now picked up the wheel. I had a talk to them about doing it myself and the guy said that if I had the tools the spoke replacement is pretty easy and the spokes were only about $2 each from them. He also said that if the wheel is still pretty true you can do it all by eye. With regards to fitting the spokes myself and having them true the wheel he said that it may not be all that much cheaper due simply to time costs.
I also had to get a new tyre fitted due to some damage. Taking the cost of the tyre off it cost me around $34 (US$27) for the (3) spoke replacement, trueing up etc. The minimum wage here is $19.84 (US$16) per hour and then you have to allow for their profit margin.
A long time ago I added a sturmy archer gear hub to my back wheel, needing shorter spokes. In those days it was assumed you would do it yourself! After replacing every spoke I recall tightening until they had the same ping then spinning the wheel to true it adding a bit of tension to the obvious side. Cut off the exposed thread and add tape to protect the tube. It was a proud moment for a twelve year old! Never did it again. I think I lost the spoke spanner.
sicut vis videre esto
When we realize that patterns don't exist in the universe, they are a template that we hold to the universe to make sense of it, it all makes a lot more sense.
Originally Posted by Ken G